Monday, July 12, 2010

Iggy Awaits His "Obama Moment"

Welcome aboard!

Here we are many knots removed from Toronto's G20-Fest with most of the various political leaders safely ensconced in their scrutiny-proof summer hideaways and your Captain can't help but scan the horizon for signs of the good ship Iggy, whose sails ought rightly to be yearning to ride the winds of tumult whipped up by its arch nemisis, the Commodore Steve. Alas, all I can claim for the effort is an empty spyglass.

What self-respecting politico-on-the-hunt would be MIA (and ducked-down in China constitutes being MIA in today's day and age) when his quarry has turned its hull full sideways into his gunsights with its commander in quarters, abed? It's enough to make your Captain think every pirate movie ever made must have gotten it all wrong - not a good thing when you're talking about my sea skills' most trusted source. Unless, that is, I've been confused about what Cap'n Iggy is actually chasing: not the Commodore, but an "Obama Moment". Really, it's not that implausible when you think about it all for just a moment.

Humour your Captain for just a moment, if you will. I promise to be considerately brief.

What if we're not talking about a group of ships in conflict but a fleet of vessels on a common course? And what if an adamantly impatient Admiralty wanted that fleet to pull out every stop in order to arrive at its destination with all dispatch. Would they not want the most hard-driving and singleminded individual in command, if only to see just how far he can get them and how fast?

However, fearing mutiny in the event that their pick is seen to go madly too far, the Admiralty needs a back-up commander who is viewed to be a voice of reason and, thus, a remedy for the sea-sickness induced by his hard-charging predecessor. The net result would be to have it both ways: to speed the fleet as far ahead as possible before the crews get paralyzed with anxiety; and then bring them safely to precisely the same harbour, relieved and unquestioning, now serving under a cooler head. Obama replacing Bush, for want of a better metaphor.

Bear in mind that such need only be a back-up arrangement in case the first commander begins to falter; there's no guarantee it will be activated. But it would require that all concerned understand and play their parts.

Besides, himself an inveterate and unabashed elitist, Cap'n Iggy might be just as anxious as anyone to arrive at a port run by a pod of fellow travelers, be he at the helm or just at the ready. Indeed, the last thing he'd need would be to go firing real broadsides off into some of the fleet along the way. Far better to wait and see if Commodore Steve sails it into a Bush so that Cap'n Iggy can Obama it on to history.

So, perhaps he awaits his moment, even as he learns all he might ever need to know about erecting wall-like divisions and asserting centralized control over the masses from his accommodating hosts in a far off land.

Then, again, perhaps it's a yarn I'm spinning with absolutely no grounding in reality - in which case, I had better be careful or soon I might be spying Nessie chasing after the Great White Whale. A whole other cruise, entirely.

Ahoy 'til next time.

Friday, July 9, 2010

Toronto's G20, 2010 - Heckuva Bargain!

Welcome aboard! Today's cruise takes in the aftermath of the G20 Summit held this past June in Toronto, Ontario, Canada (latitude and longitude available on request).

Much analytical attention is currently being paid to that now-infamous event - and justifiably so. In following it, the Good Captain and his spyglass are seeing several popularly recurring themes:
  1. Outrage over the behaviour of some protesters;
  2. Outrage over the behaviour of the security forces;
  3. Outrage over the behaviour of the responsible officials;
  4. Outrage over the coverage in both the mainstream and the alternative media;
  5. Outrage over the expenditures involved.

Since the very air and the Internet are sufficiently rife with all the above, your humble Captain will, mercifully, spare you from a rehash of that here. You're quite welcome.

Instead, I would like to draw your attention to the bewilderment that is often mixed in with all that outrage, like an accelerant to flame. Looked at individually, a great many things just don't seem to make sense. But our life experience tells us that most things do make sense; so we reach about for commonalities pointing to the reason(s) for it all. And what unifying G20 2010 theme is being identified most often? Human error. (As your grateful host, your Captain is being as genteel as he can with his choice of words, here.)

Yes, mistakes were made by many. We all meant well and tried our best; but like so many frisbees caught in unexpected gusts, circumstances simply took on unforseeable directions all their own and, well, there you are. Very sorry. Can we move on now: we've important work that needs doing.

Captain Daylight's problem, however, is that, while his spyglass has spotted many G20-related things that officials might like, at worst, to be taken for mistakes, a great many simply don't look like errors, when you think about it all for just a moment.

Chief among those things is the budget for the G8/G20 combo meal the Harper goverment ordered. At somewhere between $1.2 and $2.0 billion, that seems like pretty steep tab, all the more so in comparison to previous G-this-and-that events. Surely the government found itself in a little over its head and had to make up in dollars for what it lacked in preparation time. Sorry. Won't happen again.

But the Captain knows that, what's printed on those cardboard, clamshell, fast-food packages doesn't have to be what's actually inside. So if (just by way of conjecture, mind you) Herr Harper knew the good innocents of Canada would object to his ordering a non-simulated, full-scale, urban, unabashedly-aggressive, mass-control war games exercise (but that's what he planned to order, just the same), would he want it delivered in a package labeled for what it was; or might, "G20 Security Package," not prevent spooking the children - especially since he'd need them to treat the game as real when their turn comes?

Of course you'll be tempted to ask why he would want to order something so insidious and how could he expect to get away with it in a free society, particularly one as infrequently visited by civil unrest as Canada? Well, you may be relieved to discover that it might not be because he is "going rogue" and embarking on an aberrant and delusional campaign. (See? Your Captain doesn't like to spook the children, either.) No; it might be much worse than that. (Okay, I lied.)

Now, I can see that some of you eyeing the exits at this point; so let me assure you you're free to disembark at any time. But for those staying with the tour, let's pause a moment to recapture some needed perspective by asking ourselves a couple of questions:

  • What is the G20's purpose? (To facilitate international economic co-ordination [notice I didn't say "co-operation"]); and
  • What was on the agenda at its Summit in Toronto? (Austerity measures.)

Whereas other countries have had hands-on experience in dealing with local fallout from the former, Canada is arguably past due for having its turn. Problem is, if it's not sports-related, contemporary Canadians don't have much of a history of running riot, the little dears. Therefore, how to convince the rest of the G20 that, if and when its time comes to handle the kind of widespread unrest that, oh let's just say, something like draconian austerity measures might incite, Canada will be up to the task? Furthermore, if part of the G20's co-ordination task is to promote a North American Union (along the lines of the European Union), how might it demonstrate the way such an arrangement could successfully assert itself? Well, what better way to do it all than to stage a real-life dress rehearsal while everyone is in town?

Now, what would be needed? Let's run through the shopping list:

  • Carte blanche. (Not really a problem in a no-opposition and summer-recessed parliament. If necessary, however, see "property damage", below: so, check);
  • A major North American urban centre (Toronto: check);
  • The latest toys (Sound cannons, pre-fab fortifications, state of the art armour, sprays, gasses, modified mass transit for detainees: check);
  • Space for masses of detainees, bona fide or otherwise (Eastern Avenue, etc.: check)
  • A combined U.S./Canadian force (Untendered $500 million contract to private U.S. firm, RCMP, OPP, Toronto Police Service, hundreds of other cities' officers and the JTF2 : check);
  • Stealth (Private firm & contractees obscured from public view or accountability, martial law regulations passed effectively in secret: check);
  • Legal enforcement status for U.S. operatives to make their arrests prosecutable in Canada (48-hour approavals and deputizations for all: check);
  • A high-enough profile to attract public attention and test-drive the media-spin machine (pre-arranged and carefully-controlled coverage by all the major, proven-compliant dailies and networks: check);
  • Crowds in both open spaces and on the streets to test the gamut of control tactics (Queens Park, Queen/King West, College, Yonge Street: check)
  • Good old, reliable property damage to divide and distract the public (Agents provocateurs, staged rampages in full media view: check);
  • Large, strongly resistant protester masses (Oops. Well, if they don't play along, let's just treat them as if they're out of control, anyway: so, check);
  • Identifying likeliest repercussions & sources of resistance (Message management, media placements, internet monitoring: check);
  • A swift denouement to contain the impact and leave behind only the intended subliminal images and lessons (Massive releases within 24 hours, no messy charges to clean up: check);
  • Full play-by-play recordings for extensive post-game analysis to hone future tactics (Scores more surveillance cameras: check).

As you can see, that's one spectacularly ambitious list that probably falls well short of covering everything. So, given all that, the priceless value of being able to see/dissect full-scale mass control in action and the opportunity to implant a preemptive and precautionary message for the future with an entire country's population, perhaps what was actually inside that little "G20 Security" package turned out to be heckuva bargain, after all. Mistake? Maybe not. I'm not saying; I'm just saying.

Well, that's the end of this cruise. I hope that you enjoyed the trip and perhaps you'll join Captain Daylight and his crew for more thoughtful adventures down the road. Until then, be the wind in your sails and the horizon bright with promise. Ahoy!